US BOND MARKET IN TURMOIL! What’s Behind the Sustained US Bond Sell-Off? Will It End?|AsianQuickTake
In this video, we dive deep into the ongoing turbulence in the U.S. bond market. 📈💼
Tags: U.S. Bond Market, Bond Yields, Federal Reserve, Financial Markets, Interest Rates, Inflation, Economy, Wall Street, Investment, Monetary Policy, Market Trends.
The U.S. bond market is in turmoil as yields for 2-year and 5-year U.S. Treasury bonds reach levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. This is due to mounting expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Renowned experts like Zhao Yaoting from Invesco emphasize that the U.S. Treasury bond market is experiencing its most profound selloff since 2007.
Despite the real yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond crossing the 2% mark, the selloff continues, fueled by market uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions.
Several factors contribute to this phenomenon, including a massive influx of U.S. bond supply, rising U.S. dollar financing costs for cross-border trade, Federal Reserve balance sheet reduction, robust U.S. economic growth, and a hawkish stance by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Market sentiment is shifting, with increased expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes, leading to further selling pressure on U.S. bonds.
Hedge funds are increasing their net short positions in various U.S. Treasury bond futures, signaling their belief in further declines in bond prices.
The persistent inversion of short-term and long-term U.S. Treasury bond yields has incentivized investors to seek short-term bonds for higher yields while divesting long-term holdings, contributing to the bond market’s complexity.
To change this landscape, a swift shift in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is needed to alter market expectations.
The market is concerned that further declines in bond prices and surging bond yields could lead to a migration of funds from stocks to bonds, potentially triggering a downturn in the U.S. stock market.
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