Intentions of Iran and the ’axis of resistance’ amid escalation of Israel-Hamas war: Expert analysis
끝없이 이어지는 중동 전쟁 이란 의도 분석, 확전에 미치는 영향은?
As we just saw, conflicts that were triggered by the Israel-Hamas war are getting even complicated in that region, involving others like the U.S. and Iran.
Our Lee Eun-hee take a closer look at what’s behind all this chaos and where it may go from here.
The hostilities in the Middle East have intensified, as Iran and the so-called “axis of resistance,“ Iran’s proxy group Houthis, continue attacks on Israeli forces and their allies.
These indirect confrontations, however, do not seem to be merely in retaliation to Israel’s bombardment of Gaza.
Then what could be their possible intention?
“Iran certainly has a strategic benefit in these attacks in IR perspective because Iran’s allies and aligned countries have benefits for example China who originate much of these missile technologies, certainly enjoys to see U.S. and their ally naval resources tied up in the Red Sea.“
Among the countries that could benefit from the situation is Russia as Washington’s attention could be diverted from Moscow’s conflict with Ukraine.
“So if we could see a bigger picture they could enhance alliances with anti-American countries.“
Professor Paik also offers a second possible trajectory: Iran is trying to harm Israel and threaten Saudi Arabia by disrupting international shipping that goes through the Gulf of Aden.
“Saudi Arabia, you were kind of pushing our resistance of axis, Yemen, Houthis, and you were trying to get close with Israel “
In other words, Iran is trying to show Saudi Arabia that it has the capability and leverage to inflict harm on some of its key projects, including Vision 2030 and Neom City, which are concentrated on the Red Sea.
If the bargaining power of Iran gets bigger, so does that of the Houthis.
That’s because Houthis align with Iran, although they are not considered one entity that obeys orders from Iran.
Professor Paik, as a political scientist, does not see many incentives for Iran and the axis of resistance including Houthis and Hezbollah to continue war against Israel,
however, the possibility of a fifth Middle East war happening could rise if Israel invades Lebanon or Yemen.
Lee Eun-hee, Arirang News.
#UnitedStates #Iran #MiddleEast #War #미국 #이란 #전쟁 #확전 #Arirang_News #아리랑뉴스
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2024-01-18, 18:00 (KST)
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